Guesstimate

Pros

• Free and EA-aligned

• Graphical, interesting 'multiple flows' display

• Flexible, some good sensitivity analysis

• Clearly shows 'dependencies'

• Leaves out a lot of finance bells & whistles we don't need

• Connected (?) to some other tech or coding stuff (not sure), Ozzie Goien, Squiggle (?), "Slurp?"

• Nice documentation here, in a gitbook

Cons

• Not code-based

• No way to integrate with data (?)

• Not as well-maintained or user-friendly as Causal

• Object (box) labels hard to keep track of

• No easy 'time series'

Below, I just added a few boxes in two rows,

• some stochastic (random draws, normal, etc)

• some determined (just numbers)

• some computing a formula as a function of the others

• then some 'sensitivity analysis' which I don't full understand

Reinstein messing around

And an expanded view of the above: